ATHENA.
Phase I

Signals

Export controls · trade agreements · restriction probability · policy events

USGS MCS2026
UNCTAD TRAINS
15 export bans

USGS MCS 2026 · Table 4 · effective January 2026 · 19 controls across 19 countries

countrycontrol typecommodities (year enacted)source

Angola

Export ban

Quartz and gypsum (2024).

Armenia

Temporary export ban

Metal waste and scrap (2025).

Botswana

Export ban

Raw diamonds (2025).

China

Export licensing requirement for materials and technologies

Antimony (2024), bismuth (2025), synthesized diamond (2025), gallium (2023), germanium (2023), graphite (2023), indium (2025), magnesium materials (2024), molybdenum (2025), rare earths (2025), silver (2026), tellurium (2025), tungsten (2025), and items related to lithium batteries and artificial graphite anode materials (2025).

Congo (Kinshasa)

Export quota

Cobalt (2025).

Indonesia

Export ban

Bauxite (2023), copper concentrates (2023), and nickel ore (2020).

Kyrgyzstan

Temporary export ban

Ferrous ingot and ferrous metal waste and scrap (2023) and catalysts and waste containing precious metals (2025).

Laos

Export ban

Raw minerals, including copper, gold, iron, nickel, potassium, silver, and zinc (2024).

Malaysia

Export ban

Raw rare earths (2024).

Morocco

Export licensing requirement

Copper (refined and alloys) and aluminum ingots (2025).

Namibia

Export ban

Ores and concentrates of cobalt, graphite, lithium, manganese, and rare earths (2023).

Russia

Export ban

Steel waste and scrap, tungsten scrap, and enriched uranium (2022).

South Africa

Export licensing requirement

Chromite ore (2025).

Tajikistan

Export ban

Metal waste and scrap (2020).

Tanzania

Export ban

Ore concentrates of copper, gold, nickel, and silver (2017).

Thailand

Export ban

Natural sand (2023).

Venezuela

Export ban

Bauxite, cassiterite, columbite-tantalite, copper, gold, rhodium, silver, and thorium (2024).

Vietnam

Export ban

Raw materials of iron, lead-zinc, chromite, manganese, apatite, and rare earths and deeply processed titanium (2012).

Zimbabwe

Export ban

Lithium ore (2022).