cobalt
Critical · 3 lists

Cobalt · Co

battery_metal · byproduct

DOE_2023
USGS_2022
USGS_2025

Cobalt sits on 3 federal critical-minerals lists; mine supply is highly concentrated (HHI 0.59, 2025), led by 🇨🇩 Congo (Kinshasa) at 75% of output. The US is 79% net import-reliant (2025). Prices rose 27% over the past year (-10%/yr over 4y).

Headline indicators

15dollars per pound

USGS MCS (LME)

+27% 1Y

-10%/yr · 4Y CAGR

79%

0.59

Highly concentrated · 2025

lifecycle flow

  1. 01Reserves

    12.0Mt

    Congo (Kinshasa) leads · 50% share

  2. 02Production

    268.5Kt

    Congo (Kinshasa) top · 2024

  3. 03Trade

    9.5Kt

    net importer · 2025

  4. 04Stocks

    1.5Kt

    year-end · 2025

  5. 05Consumption

    9.6Kt

    Consumption (includes secondary): Apparent · 2025

2 PROMMIS flowsheets

  • PROMMIS · diafiltration

    Open workbench →

    Single two-salt diafiltration module - Co stays in the retentate as Li exits via the permeate. Selectivity is the natural design objective when Co is the target stream.

    commodity: cobalt · suggested axis: diafiltrate_flow_volume · y: co_permeate_recovery_pct

  • PROMMIS · membrane_cascade

    Open workbench →

    Multi-stage cascade cost-optimized against a Co recovery floor - the trade-off curve of cost vs how much Co you insist on recovering.

    commodity: cobalt · suggested axis: cobalt_recovery_target · y: total_annualized_cost

Data coverage notes

  • datedMaterial-flow analysis is historical - All 141 material-flow records date to 2005 or earlier (Yale STAF era). They describe the anthropogenic cycle of that period, not today's system.
  • datedExport-restriction inventory ends 2020 - The OECD industrial-raw-materials inventory (vendored snapshot) reports HS-line measures only through 2020; restrictions enacted since are not reflected in the measure table.
  • narrowConsumption geography is single-economy (United States) - Reported consumption covers one economy only - the world usage split must be read from trade flows, not from a consumption table.

How strata reads a commodity

The eight-stage lens, the observed-vs-estimated membrane, stage-honest supply, per-stage concentration, ownership resolution and the demand lens - the full method is illustrated live on copper, nickel and lithium.

Read the methodology, illustrated live →

Where this data comes from

23 sources · titles open the source card · url opens the publisher