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industrial_mineral · primary
Bottom line
Graphite sits on 3 federal critical-minerals lists; mine supply is highly concentrated (HHI 0.64, 2025), led by 🇨🇳 China at 80% of output. The US is 100% net import-reliant (2025). Prices fell 5% over the past year (-7%/yr over 4y).
At a glance
Price · 2025e
1,000dollars per metric ton
USGS MCS (Average unit value of imports) · source marks this value estimated
Price trend
-5% 1Y
-7%/yr · 4Y CAGR
US net import reliance · 2025
100%
Mine production HHI
0.64
Highly concentrated · 2025
From ore to use
lifecycle flow
310.0Mt
China leads · 32% share
1.8Mt
China top · 2025
70.6Kt
net importer · 2025
-
71.0Kt
Consumption, apparent · 2025
Coverage
Provenance
Methodology
The eight-stage lens, the observed-vs-estimated membrane, stage-honest supply, per-stage concentration, ownership resolution and the demand lens - the full method is illustrated live on copper, nickel and lithium.
Model inputs
This commodity's rows from strata's GCAM-CMM input bundle - graded supply curves (USGS reserves × benchmark cost model, 1975 USD/kg per GCAM convention), demand intensities, and the basis lineage that says exactly what each figure counts. These are inputs toGCAM: strata is the data; the model and its runs are PNNL's. Every file keeps its provenance header.
graftech 10k 2024
midstream_components_seed
ni43101_deposits
ownership_control_seed
usgs_critmin_deposits_v3
usgs_mrds_2016
usgs_pp1802_global
usmin_critical_deposits
23 sources · titles open the source card · url opens the publisher