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base_metal · primary
Bottom line
Lead sits on 1 federal critical-minerals list; mine supply is concentrated (HHI 0.26, 2025), led by 🇨🇳 China at 48% of output. The US is 33% net import-reliant (2025). Prices fell 3% over the past year (-2%/yr over 4y).
At a glance
Price · 2026
1,942$/mt
World Bank Pink Sheet
Price trend
-3% 1Y
-2%/yr · 4Y CAGR
US net import reliance · 2025
33%
Mine production HHI
0.26
Concentrated · 2025
From ore to use
lifecycle flow
95.0Mt
Australia leads · 36% share
4.6Mt
China top · 2024
278.0Kt
net importer · 2025
Coverage
Provenance
-
5.1Mt
China · 2022
Methodology
The eight-stage lens, the observed-vs-estimated membrane, stage-honest supply, per-stage concentration, ownership resolution and the demand lens - the full method is illustrated live on copper, nickel and lithium.
midstream_components_seed
ownership_control_seed
sec_edgar_ex96_pdf
usgs_deposit_gt
usgs_mine_waste
usgs_mrds_2016
usgs_world_phosphate
usmin_critical_deposits
20 sources · titles open the source card · url opens the publisher